Thread: India to register 500% growth for broadband services within 5 years

India to register 500% growth for broadband services within 5 years

With rapid growth in the last 10 years broadband has claimed the crown as the fastest adopted technology ever. More people have subscribed in a shorter time than bought mobile phones, computers, TVs, the Walkman or any of the other revolutionary advances and devices since fire first debuted. Now Point Topic projects broadband will grow by another 67% over the next five years to pass 680 million lines worldwide by the end of 2013.

Countries like South Korea, Japan or Denmark are close to saturation and most people who want broadband have it already.Even in less saturated countries like the US, broadband subscriptions will grow by only about 50% over the next 5 years.

This saturation in developed countries, coupled with the world entering a period of lower economic growth, even recession in some markets, will slow the worldwide march of broadband in the coming years to an expected 8% per year compound up to 2013.

But there are some countries where the expansion will continue to be spectacular. Fourteen of them will more than double their broadband base by 2013. As the table below shows they are mostly in the developing world and emerging economies.

India has traditionally been known for its cellular service potential. But the cellular services will soon have to share focus with broadband services as well since the country is all set to register the highest growth in broadband subscriber base by 2013.

India is estimated to move from its current position at number 18 in the world for broadband market and jump to attain the number 6 rank. This will be achieved at a mind-boggling growth rate of 489%. This is the highest growth rate expected from any market and is almost the double from the second highest growth market i.e. Vietnam (276%).

Broadband services as a whole will grow by 67 percent over the next five years to reach landmark 680 million connections worldwide. This is a significant surge as compared to yearly growth rate of 28% registered for broadband services from 2004 to 2008.

Top performers - growth in broadband lines 2008-2013

The BRIC countries Brazil, Russia, India, China which have been the engine of recent economic growth dominate this list as well, with India well out in front. With its burgeoning economy and huge population India will zoom up the rankings of the largest broadband countries in the world. Currently at number 18 in the charts it will hit number 6 by the end of 2013, predicts Johnson.

Central and South America will see the most high-growth countries. Brazil will shortly enter the top 10 broadband countries in the world, most likely before the end of 2008, and again with a decent economic base and a large population hungry for bandwidth it will outperform most other countries in the next 5 years,” Johnson adds.

Broadband growth in China will not be quite so extravagant in percentage terms. Now the largest broadband country in the world it will continue to outperform its nearest rivals, the US, Japan and Germany and will extend its lead at the top of the table.

Adding in estimates for the rest of the world, the total number of broadband lines, serving both homes and businesses, will grow from 382 million at mid-2008 and a forecast 410 million at the end of the year to over 680 million by the end of 2013.

Do you really think its bound to happen ?? I mean such figures for growth have been quoted a couple of times in the past too...

I'm sure...it will happen.2 year back,how many of us were using broadband internet? Just see now...we find broadband internet in almost every house. People have stopped going to the internet cafes

u r right Ramesh but 500 times ? Internet cafes still exist and earn.

in coming years, their will be more scope for broadband companies in india.

More data, more speed, less rupeee will be winner

Originally Posted by DZire

u r right Ramesh but 500 times ? Internet cafes still exist and earn.

Lets wait n watch....

How do you expect the increase in broadband penetration to be higher. When even for 256kbps UL you need to pay 799+taxes. Abroad broadband means minimum 1mbps. In UK you get 8mbps UL for 20 Pounds. (Rs.1600=00). Just see the difference. And over all this our government making fake promises ti increase broadband penetration. Has not been able to do anything except for meetings which doesn't bear any results.

Hope for the best in coming time for broadband

This economic slowdown will cause slowdown in broadband penetration growth as well but 500% growth to me looks very reasonable provided the prices keep falling like they have been in the past.

If PC prices and broadband prices both fall by a considerable amount which I am sure they will then I am sure these targets are very much within reach.

Who knows what will happen in the future ?

Who knows we will die before it happens ?

Who knows the world might end on 21/12/2012 before broadband in india reaches 6th position (Only idiot people will believe such nonsense prediction, I am not that idiot, It's upto u to believe it or not ) ?

5 yrs are still a long way ahead. Just think about the present problem we are facing. The main problem is expansion of broadband network and the tariff. Even though BSNL has the capability to Top the world within three years. But BSNL babus think they have permanent jobs and they leave the work pending. They only care for their bellies(tea and samosa for free).