Thread: UPA, NDA or 3rd front

Who will rule in India from June 2009. Do you seriously think Dr. Manmohan Singh can continue as PM. Please do not forget to vote. I am new to IBF and didn't knew how to post a poll. Now it is time to do it.

This year very hard to create a govt. for any alliance (UPA,NDA or third front)
If we discuss each alliance then probably UPA has slight advantage at this point but still it's very hard to say that UPA will be in the power again.

UPA- Congress has little advantage in WB & Maharastra for seat adjustment with TMC & NCP and also has problem in UP & Bihar for SP & RJD.So if congress can get above 135-145 seat alone then they can form govt. otherwise it's very difficult to form govt. by UPA.

NDA- Now BJP has their own problem in this election and finally BJD broke the relation with NDA it's major blow now in Orissa & WB BJD & TMC not present in NDA so NDA will loss few seats at eastern zone.So BJP need at least 145-155 seats(more than congress) own to create govt.

Third front-Third front has very rear chance to create a govt. I think lots of diversity present in that particular front where one side BSP and other side AIADMK.Left parties are leading a front where TDP,TRS,BJD and all others party present with their different agenda also different economic policy.But most important thing is that if we consider all parties result well in this election then also very hard chance to create a govt by third front because most of the parties are present in one or two state with proper strength so they can't add much seats.To formation of govt third front need few others party support(presently in NDA or UPA) after the election.

A poll carried out by Star News channel and Nielson has predicted the Congress party-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) would get 257 seats in the general election. The Hindu-nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led alliance would end up with 184 seats, followed by the Third Front of regional and communist parties, with 96 seats. (Star News)

In this election I think we are getting a most gloomy picture of all three alliances. Especially the small and state parties are trying to open the entire route. First if we consider UPA then apparently it’s look like that although RJD & SP did not made any seat adjustment with congress but still most possibility is that they will be in the UPA after the election but still this question is present that what will be happen after the election voters don’t know that actually his vote is going to UPA or NDA or even third front because suppose if UPA has god opportunity to form a govt. then some other party can join with them (presently they are in third front or NDA) or even opposite if NDA or third front is in good situation then some other parties from opposite alliance can join with them. Although without congress & BJP support third front is looking almost impossible because few regional parties will never join in third front like Trinomul congress, SP(if BSP present in third front),DMK(if AIADMK present in third front),Shiv Sena,Akali dal so if congress+ BJP reach 230-240 seats then I think this other parties will at least reach 40-50 seats so third front government is also very difficult if both national party’s(BJP & Congress) result become very bad then only third front possibility is bright but still after the polling third front need few other parties in their front.

So voter can be confused before voting because probably he/she don’t know before voting that actually his/her vote is going to which front/alliance .

Here is a simple graphical replica



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